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Look for defending Super Bowl champion Seahawks to edge Bears on Monday night

AP pro picks

By Rob Maaddi 4 min read

Caleb Williams and Ben Johnson's high-powered offense vs. the defending Super Bowl champions and Mike Macdonald's stingy defense.

The Bears-Seahawks matchup on Monday night is a battle between coaching masterminds.

Chicago has won two in a row since Williams returned from a three-game absence, and the star quarterback threw for 613 yards in the victories over Atlanta and New England.

Seattle (-3) shut down Patrick Mahomes, Kenneth Walker III and handed the Chiefs their first loss of the season. Seahawks, 24-20

Elsewhere:

ARIZONA at DALLAS (-7): If the Cardinals play more like the team that beat the Rams than the one that has lost 10 straight at home, they'll have a shot. Arizona's defense is last in scoring, allowing 29.7 points per game. The Cowboys aren't much better. They've given up 25.7. This could be a shootout. Cowboys, 27-23

ATLANTA at TAMPA BAY (-2.5): The Falcons handed the 49ers their first loss and now face the rejuvenated Buccaneers. Michael Penix Jr. excelled in a game where the offensive line didn't even allow one hurry. Bijan Robinson leads the NFL in rushing but faces the NFL's second-ranked run defense. Buccaneers, 26-22

BALTIMORE at BUFFALO (-3): The Ravens need Lamar Jackson to return but he can't help them if the defense doesn't improve after surrendering 35 points in the second half to Cincinnati. Josh Allen and the Bills are coming off a bye. Buffalo leads the NFL in scoring with 32.8 points per game. Bills, 28-22

CLEVELAND at PITTSBURGH (-3.5): Deshaun Watson has led a game-winning drive in each of his Cleveland's five wins and the Browns have already matched their 2025 win total in the first year under coach Todd Monken. Aaron Rodgers has been efficient and the Steelers are winning despite some all-around inconsistencies. The Browns beat the Steelers 27-24 on Oct. 1. Pittsburgh has won the last five home games in this series. Five of the last seven meetings between the AFC North rivals were decided by one score. Steelers, 23-17

INDIANAPOLIS at JACKSONVILLE: The Colts are trading away veterans, stockpiling draft picks and looking ahead to 2027. They still have Jonathan Taylor but he's facing the league's No. 1 run defense this week. Jaguars, 26-17

LAS VEGAS at NEW YORK JETS (-1.5): The Raiders have lost four straight but Kirk Cousins isn't the problem and won't lose his job to Fernando Mendoza just yet. Las Vegas' defense has allowed 35.8 points per game over the last five weeks. The Jets keep playing like the Jets. Raiders, 23-22

MINNESOTA at DETROIT (-3): The Vikings are the only undefeated team in the NFL thanks to a fierce defense and strong special teams. But they need Kyler Murray and the league's 29th-ranked offense to be more productive. The Lions are second in the NFL in scoring at 30.7 points per game. Best Bet: Lions, 27-16

TENNESSEE at CINCINNATI (-10.5): The Titans are playing better than their results, staying close and finding ways to lose. Their defense gave up nearly 500 yards to Cleveland and has a bigger challenge against Joe Burrow and the Bengals. Bengals, 28-19

LOS ANGELES CHARGERS at LOS ANGELES RAMS (-6.5): The Chargers are the away team against the Rams in the battle between So-Fi Stadium tenants. It's been a horrendous start for Justin Herbert and an offense that's last in scoring under first-year coordinator Mike McDaniel. The up-and-down Rams can't afford any letdowns. Rams, 30-20

KANSAS CITY (-1.5) at DENVER: Patrick Mahomes, Kenneth Walker III and the rest of Kansas City's offense was shut down by Seattle and now faces Denver's talented defense that hasn't played up to expectations. Bo Nix finally got going last week. Upset Special: Broncos, 20-18

NEW ENGLAND (-6.5) at MIAMI: The Patriots are coming off a mini-bye after a Thursday night loss to Chicago snapped their three-game winning streak. Coach Jeff Hafley earned his first win last week against the Jets but the Dolphins are a long way from being competitive. Patriots, 27-16

PHILADELPHIA at WASHINGTON (-6): Hard to believe these two teams met in the NFC championship game 21 months ago. Tanner McKee hasn't been the problem for the injury-riddled Eagles. A defense that was supposed to be among the best in the league has been terrible. Commanders, 23-20

Last week: Straight up: 9-5. Against spread: 11-2-1.

Overall: Straight up: 64-42-1. Against spread: 56-48-3.

Best Bet: Straight up: 4-3. Against spread: 3-4.

Upset Special: Straight up: 2-5. Against spread: 2-5.

Starting at /week.