Playoff seedings come into focus this week
MaxPreps.com has a neat little item on its website that uses algorithms to predict which teams have the best chance of winning the state basketball championship in every class.
Obviously, that means little, especially when a number of teams still don’t even report all of their results on the website, but it serves as a friendly reminder this time of year that the playoffs are just around the corner.
The cutoff for District 6 teams in Class AAA, AA and A to enter the playoffs is Friday, meaning they have the first four days of this week to try to get in games and compile points to determine the seeding.
Teams get so many points for a win and power points depending on the classification of the opponent. They also get bonus points for beating teams with a winning percentage of at least .700 – you are probably looking at opponents that will be around 12-4, 12-5 or 13-5 to get those. Then the total is divided by the number of games played to get your rankings.
It will be interesting to see how that plays out in a few classes. For instance, Class AA in both boys and girls have a number of teams with outstanding records, as mentioned here before.
In Class A girls, Portage enters the week 17-1. The Lady Mustangs, though, have played mostly other Class A schools, and there aren’t a lot of wins against teams that figure to hit that 70 percent threshold. Meanwhile, Bishop Guilfoyle is 13-3 but has played mostly Class AA and some Class AAA schools, and wins over the likes of Bishop McCort, Forest Hills, Westmont and possibly Penn Cambria will garner bonus points.
Single-A boys is Bishop Carroll’s top seed to lose, and the Huskies aren’t going to have a rematch with potential second seed Bishop Guilfoyle before the deadline. Homer-Center and Juniata Valley look to have the inside track on the other seeds in the top four.
Central is a pivotal team in Class AA boys. As of now, the Scarlet Dragons are the only team in the Mountain League to beat every other team in the loop, and the points they’ve gained from wins over Tyrone, Penns Valley and Bald Eagle Area as well as a victory over District 5’s Northern Bedford could move them up a spot or two, although they won’t contend for the No. 1 spot.
On the Class AA girls side, the team that could throw a monkey wrench into things is Juniata. It is 15-2 entering the week playing a schedule that’s a mix of Class AA and A and probably is going to push some team that arguably has played a more demanding schedule like Westmont, McCort, Tyrone or Marion Center down in the seedings.
On a roll
The Tyrone boys are having a great season, but they might not even be putting together the biggest accomplishments in their own gym.
The Golden Eagle junior varsity is on a 32-game winning streak. It upped its record to 14-0 this season by beating Central on Friday night.
For the record
Senior Macey Hollenshead broke Kelly True 12-year-old Southern Fulton girls career scoring record of 1,442 points last Wednesday with 18 points in a 59-24 win over Forbes Road.
Hollenshead signed with Division I Fairfield during the early signing period. She’s the first female athlete from the school to get a DI scholarship.